Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Krones AG (KRN.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,521.68 - $1,793.39$1,680.39
Multi-Stage$1,006.78 - $1,106.69$1,055.79
Blended Fair Value$1,368.09
Current Price$124.00
Upside1,003.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.29%0.96%2.201.751.400.060.751.701.701.561.451.25
YoY Growth--25.71%25.00%2,232.81%-92.00%-55.88%0.00%9.18%7.38%16.00%-37.50%
Dividend Yield--1.76%1.38%1.36%0.08%1.08%3.49%2.08%1.42%1.38%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)289.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)207.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.9236.2021.72
Cash Retained (M)207.51207.51207.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.92-36.20-21.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)149.59171.31185.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)31.5631.5631.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.745.435.89
LTM Dividend per Share2.602.602.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.745.435.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.348.038.49
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Fair Value$1,521.68$1,680.39$1,793.39
Upside / Downside1,127.16%1,255.16%1,346.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)289.62303.08317.17331.91347.34363.49374.39
Payout Ratio28.35%40.68%53.01%65.34%77.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.11123.29168.13216.87269.78327.14346.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate3.65%4.65%5.65%
Year 1 PV (M)120.40121.56122.73
Year 2 PV (M)160.34163.45166.59
Year 3 PV (M)201.98207.88213.90
Year 4 PV (M)245.37254.97264.86
Year 5 PV (M)290.56304.85319.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,759.0432,271.7733,843.43
Equity Value (M)31,777.6933,324.4834,931.20
Shares Outstanding (M)31.5631.5631.56
Fair Value$1,006.78$1,055.79$1,106.69
Upside / Downside711.92%751.44%792.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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