Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Kilroy Realty Corporation (KRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - OfficeSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.08 - $101.78$69.12
Multi-Stage$44.45 - $48.45$46.41
Blended Fair Value$57.77
Current Price$42.25
Upside36.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.48%8.02%2.162.152.092.001.891.651.512.871.161.07
YoY Growth--0.34%3.18%4.30%5.69%14.43%9.39%-47.34%147.88%8.36%7.07%
Dividend Yield--6.59%6.12%6.44%2.62%2.88%2.60%2.00%4.04%1.61%1.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)322.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)257.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)65.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.5940.3724.22
Cash Retained (M)65.2465.2465.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.59-40.37-24.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.6524.8741.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)118.71118.71118.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.210.35
LTM Dividend per Share2.172.172.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.210.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.182.382.52
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.47%5.47%6.47%
Fair Value$49.08$69.12$101.78
Upside / Downside16.17%63.59%140.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)322.96340.63359.26378.91399.64421.50434.14
Payout Ratio79.80%81.84%83.88%85.92%87.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)257.72278.77301.35325.56351.52379.35401.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate4.47%5.47%6.47%
Year 1 PV (M)253.09255.51257.93
Year 2 PV (M)248.38253.16257.98
Year 3 PV (M)243.62250.68257.88
Year 4 PV (M)238.82248.09257.63
Year 5 PV (M)233.98245.39257.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,058.834,256.844,462.51
Equity Value (M)5,276.715,509.685,751.19
Shares Outstanding (M)118.71118.71118.71
Fair Value$44.45$46.41$48.45
Upside / Downside5.21%9.86%14.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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