Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kongsberg Gruppen ASA (KOG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$186.77 - $490.88$284.78
Multi-Stage$130.90 - $142.87$136.78
Blended Fair Value$210.78
Current Price$390.85
Upside-46.07%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS40.62%14.64%2.800.733.091.622.560.510.510.510.581.26
YoY Growth--286.05%-76.50%90.53%-36.61%401.79%0.00%0.00%-11.98%-54.02%76.27%
Dividend Yield--0.91%0.49%3.65%2.31%6.52%1.95%1.92%1.52%2.50%5.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,052.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,990.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,062.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,410.40881.50528.90
Cash Retained (M)4,062.004,062.004,062.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,410.40-881.50-528.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,651.603,180.503,533.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)879.09879.09879.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.023.624.02
LTM Dividend per Share3.403.403.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.023.624.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.427.027.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$186.77$284.78$490.88
Upside / Downside-52.21%-27.14%25.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,052.007,510.387,998.558,518.469,072.169,661.859,951.71
Payout Ratio42.40%51.92%61.44%70.96%80.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,990.003,899.354,914.286,044.687,301.268,695.679,205.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,539.733,573.293,606.84
Year 2 PV (M)4,049.654,126.784,204.64
Year 3 PV (M)4,521.774,651.584,783.84
Year 4 PV (M)4,958.075,148.745,344.86
Year 5 PV (M)5,360.385,619.295,888.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)92,645.9597,120.79101,766.88
Equity Value (M)115,075.56120,240.46125,595.18
Shares Outstanding (M)879.09879.09879.09
Fair Value$130.90$136.78$142.87
Upside / Downside-66.51%-65.00%-63.45%

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