Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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JMT Network Services Public Company Limited (JMT-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$74.10 - $191.63$179.59
Multi-Stage$28.04 - $30.66$29.33
Blended Fair Value$104.46
Current Price$8.90
Upside1,073.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.79%37.24%0.880.930.900.610.480.480.250.240.040.04
YoY Growth---5.68%3.01%48.56%27.74%-1.02%91.73%5.76%484.39%3.86%5.56%
Dividend Yield--6.85%4.15%1.94%0.79%1.05%3.75%1.81%0.74%0.18%0.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,406.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)973.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)432.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)281.32175.82105.49
Cash Retained (M)432.78432.78432.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-281.32-175.82-105.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)151.47256.96327.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,459.741,459.741,459.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.180.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.180.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.770.840.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$74.10$179.59$191.63
Upside / Downside732.54%1,917.84%2,053.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,406.581,498.001,595.381,699.071,809.511,927.131,984.95
Payout Ratio69.23%73.39%77.54%81.69%85.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)973.791,099.311,237.041,388.021,553.401,734.421,836.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,021.591,031.271,040.96
Year 2 PV (M)1,068.301,088.651,109.19
Year 3 PV (M)1,113.941,145.921,178.50
Year 4 PV (M)1,158.531,203.081,248.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,202.071,260.141,320.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,371.7937,080.2638,854.12
Equity Value (M)40,936.2242,809.3144,752.08
Shares Outstanding (M)1,459.741,459.741,459.74
Fair Value$28.04$29.33$30.66
Upside / Downside215.10%229.51%244.47%

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