Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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JB Hi-Fi Limited (JBH.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$414.07 - $1,633.04$1,135.76
Multi-Stage$206.28 - $225.28$215.61
Blended Fair Value$675.68
Current Price$110.35
Upside512.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS17.50%16.04%3.522.723.492.832.831.571.431.381.090.85
YoY Growth--29.28%-22.00%23.37%0.00%80.03%9.47%3.83%27.29%27.78%6.92%
Dividend Yield--3.19%4.47%7.97%7.35%5.59%3.65%5.59%6.13%4.64%3.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)901.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)684.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)216.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)180.24112.6567.59
Cash Retained (M)216.80216.80216.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-180.24-112.65-67.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.56104.15149.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)109.75109.75109.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.951.36
LTM Dividend per Share6.246.246.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.951.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.577.187.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$414.07$1,135.76$1,633.04
Upside / Downside275.23%929.23%1,379.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)901.20959.781,022.161,088.601,159.361,234.721,271.76
Payout Ratio75.94%78.75%81.57%84.38%87.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)684.40755.87833.74918.531,010.831,111.251,176.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)698.65705.27711.90
Year 2 PV (M)712.29725.86739.55
Year 3 PV (M)725.34746.16767.37
Year 4 PV (M)737.80766.17795.36
Year 5 PV (M)749.69785.90823.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,014.9819,933.4120,886.99
Equity Value (M)22,638.7523,662.7824,724.67
Shares Outstanding (M)109.75109.75109.75
Fair Value$206.28$215.61$225.28
Upside / Downside86.93%95.38%104.15%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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