Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.75 - $17.28$14.41
Multi-Stage$20.89 - $22.97$21.91
Blended Fair Value$18.16
Current Price$28.62
Upside-36.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.740.710.710.690.680.690.681.261.87
YoY Growth---100.00%3.96%-0.47%2.48%1.81%-1.74%1.57%-45.89%-32.70%-66.62%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.95%3.02%2.31%0.55%0.30%0.55%0.55%1.01%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.7114.828.89
Cash Retained (M)83.5983.5983.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.71-14.82-8.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.8868.7774.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.1878.1878.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.880.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.880.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.211.331.40
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.75$14.41$17.28
Upside / Downside-58.94%-49.66%-39.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118.56117.37116.20115.04113.89112.75116.13
Payout Ratio29.49%41.59%53.70%65.80%77.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.9748.8262.3975.6988.72101.47107.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.12%8.12%8.12%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)44.7045.1645.61
Year 2 PV (M)52.3053.3854.46
Year 3 PV (M)58.0959.8961.72
Year 4 PV (M)62.3464.9367.59
Year 5 PV (M)65.2968.6972.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,350.511,420.841,494.06
Equity Value (M)1,633.241,712.881,795.68
Shares Outstanding (M)78.1878.1878.18
Fair Value$20.89$21.91$22.97
Upside / Downside-27.01%-23.45%-19.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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