Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Iveco Group N.V. (IVG.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.62 - $233.29$82.66
Multi-Stage$46.65 - $51.23$48.90
Blended Fair Value$65.78
Current Price$16.70
Upside293.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS146.50%0.00%0.340.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.25%0.00%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.04%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)322.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)234.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.4040.2524.15
Cash Retained (M)234.00234.00234.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.40-40.25-24.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)169.60193.75209.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)268.25268.25268.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.630.720.78
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.630.720.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate5.38%5.38%5.38%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Fair Value$42.62$82.66$233.29
Upside / Downside155.19%394.96%1,296.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)322.00335.06348.64362.78377.49392.80404.58
Payout Ratio27.33%39.86%52.40%64.93%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.00133.57182.68235.56292.43353.52374.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.38%5.38%5.38%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)125.53126.75127.97
Year 2 PV (M)161.37164.51167.69
Year 3 PV (M)195.56201.31207.17
Year 4 PV (M)228.17237.15246.40
Year 5 PV (M)259.24272.07285.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,544.5312,115.6312,709.10
Equity Value (M)12,514.4113,117.4213,743.72
Shares Outstanding (M)268.25268.25268.25
Fair Value$46.65$48.90$51.23
Upside / Downside179.35%192.81%206.79%

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