Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Íslandsbanki hf. (ISB.IC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$748.01 - $2,704.68$2,371.04
Multi-Stage$346.13 - $378.50$362.02
Blended Fair Value$1,366.53
Current Price$122.00
Upside1,020.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.34%0.00%6.546.526.331.810.002.826.911.305.324.79
YoY Growth--0.40%2.97%250.00%0.00%-100.00%-59.23%430.83%-75.51%11.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.32%6.45%5.30%1.43%0.00%2.98%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)25,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,103.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,475.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,115.603,197.251,918.35
Cash Retained (M)13,475.0013,475.0013,475.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,115.60-3,197.25-1,918.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,359.4010,277.7511,556.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,880.751,880.751,880.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.445.466.14
LTM Dividend per Share6.446.446.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.445.466.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.8811.9012.58
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$748.01$2,371.04$2,704.68
Upside / Downside513.12%1,843.47%2,116.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)25,578.0027,240.5729,011.2130,896.9432,905.2435,044.0836,095.40
Payout Ratio47.32%55.85%64.39%72.93%81.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,103.0015,215.0618,680.5522,532.2726,805.7931,539.6733,388.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14,081.6214,215.1014,348.57
Year 2 PV (M)16,001.0216,305.8016,613.45
Year 3 PV (M)17,862.4918,375.2618,897.75
Year 4 PV (M)19,667.3020,423.6521,201.61
Year 5 PV (M)21,416.6922,451.1223,525.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)561,950.45589,092.87617,274.09
Equity Value (M)650,979.58680,863.79711,860.61
Shares Outstanding (M)1,880.751,880.751,880.75
Fair Value$346.13$362.02$378.50
Upside / Downside183.71%196.74%210.24%

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