Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Inghams Group Limited (ING.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.81 - $9.61$7.50
Multi-Stage$12.26 - $13.47$12.86
Blended Fair Value$10.18
Current Price$3.55
Upside186.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.33%-13.88%0.190.220.050.150.140.180.210.190.030.00
YoY Growth---13.69%339.78%-67.71%9.09%-20.12%-14.27%9.21%627.84%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--5.31%6.02%1.90%5.96%3.54%5.52%5.12%4.94%0.77%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)191.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)152.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)38.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.2623.9114.35
Cash Retained (M)38.9038.9038.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.26-23.91-14.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.6414.9924.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)374.45374.45374.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.040.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.040.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-0.67%0.33%1.33%
Fair Value$5.81$7.50$9.61
Upside / Downside63.76%111.15%170.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)191.30191.92192.55193.18193.81194.44200.27
Payout Ratio79.67%81.73%83.80%85.87%87.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)152.40156.86161.35165.87170.42174.99185.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate-0.67%0.33%1.33%
Year 1 PV (M)146.08147.55149.03
Year 2 PV (M)139.94142.77145.63
Year 3 PV (M)133.97138.06142.23
Year 4 PV (M)128.19133.43138.83
Year 5 PV (M)122.58128.88135.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,921.554,122.984,332.59
Equity Value (M)4,592.324,813.675,043.73
Shares Outstanding (M)374.45374.45374.45
Fair Value$12.26$12.86$13.47
Upside / Downside245.47%262.12%279.43%

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