Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ingenia Communities Group (INA.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.09 - $68.75$52.59
Multi-Stage$8.73 - $9.54$9.13
Blended Fair Value$30.86
Current Price$5.47
Upside464.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.79%16.38%0.110.110.110.100.070.070.060.050.040.03
YoY Growth--2.73%0.00%14.47%27.76%6.16%18.86%15.12%17.56%43.46%23.83%
Dividend Yield--2.04%2.27%2.73%2.39%1.23%1.58%1.85%1.68%1.70%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)142.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)90.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.4917.8110.68
Cash Retained (M)51.5551.5551.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.49-17.81-10.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.0733.7540.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)412.05412.05412.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.300.32
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.09$52.59$68.75
Upside / Downside230.78%861.47%1,156.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)142.45151.70161.56172.07183.25195.16201.02
Payout Ratio63.81%69.05%74.28%79.52%84.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)90.89104.75120.02136.83155.33175.65185.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)96.8797.7998.71
Year 2 PV (M)102.65104.61106.58
Year 3 PV (M)108.24111.34114.51
Year 4 PV (M)113.63118.00122.50
Year 5 PV (M)118.84124.58130.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,058.983,206.733,360.14
Equity Value (M)3,599.213,763.053,932.97
Shares Outstanding (M)412.05412.05412.05
Fair Value$8.73$9.13$9.54
Upside / Downside59.69%66.96%74.50%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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