Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Italgas S.p.A. (IG.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.01 - $212.79$155.48
Multi-Stage$32.09 - $35.15$33.59
Blended Fair Value$94.54
Current Price$7.20
Upside1,213.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.61%6.68%0.370.330.310.300.270.260.210.200.000.26
YoY Growth--10.85%6.80%4.16%10.02%6.36%23.47%4.00%0.00%-100.00%36.31%
Dividend Yield--6.83%6.44%6.02%4.95%5.24%4.71%4.10%3.99%0.00%6.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)874.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)317.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)556.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)174.90109.3165.59
Cash Retained (M)556.65556.65556.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-174.90-109.31-65.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)381.75447.34491.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)811.12811.12811.12
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.470.550.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.470.550.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.941.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Fair Value$55.01$155.48$212.79
Upside / Downside664.09%2,059.45%2,855.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)874.51924.21976.741,032.261,090.931,152.941,187.52
Payout Ratio36.35%47.08%57.81%68.54%79.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)317.85435.09564.64707.50864.771,037.641,098.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Year 1 PV (M)405.34409.21413.08
Year 2 PV (M)490.05499.46508.95
Year 3 PV (M)572.05588.60605.46
Year 4 PV (M)651.39676.64702.62
Year 5 PV (M)728.16763.61800.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,182.5924,311.2225,483.38
Equity Value (M)26,029.5827,248.7328,513.92
Shares Outstanding (M)811.12811.12811.12
Fair Value$32.09$33.59$35.15
Upside / Downside345.71%366.58%388.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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