Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.49 - $106.23$65.78
Multi-Stage$31.03 - $33.92$32.45
Blended Fair Value$49.11
Current Price$68.81
Upside-28.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.30%14.87%0.210.100.090.090.070.070.070.060.060.06
YoY Growth--119.05%5.00%5.26%18.75%3.23%6.90%3.57%7.69%4.00%8.70%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.34%0.44%0.52%0.40%0.65%0.49%0.38%0.68%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)917.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)125.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)792.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)183.40114.6368.78
Cash Retained (M)792.00792.00792.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-183.40-114.63-68.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)608.60677.38723.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)440.68440.68440.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.821.92
WACC / Discount Rate9.45%9.45%9.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$44.49$65.78$106.23
Upside / Downside-35.35%-4.40%54.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)917.00976.611,040.081,107.691,179.691,256.371,294.06
Payout Ratio13.63%28.91%44.18%59.45%74.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)125.00282.29459.50658.55881.541,130.731,197.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.45%9.45%9.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)255.50257.92260.34
Year 2 PV (M)376.42383.59390.83
Year 3 PV (M)488.29502.30516.59
Year 4 PV (M)591.59614.34637.75
Year 5 PV (M)686.81719.98754.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,276.0611,820.7012,386.18
Equity Value (M)13,674.6714,298.8414,946.11
Shares Outstanding (M)440.68440.68440.68
Fair Value$31.03$32.45$33.92
Upside / Downside-54.90%-52.85%-50.71%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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