Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Athens Medical C.S.A. (IATR.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.36 - $0.58$0.46
Multi-Stage$0.56 - $0.61$0.58
Blended Fair Value$0.52
Current Price$1.80
Upside-71.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS113.45%39.94%0.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2,732.79%0.00%-100.00%-42.55%261.54%-51.85%47.27%57.14%-39.66%-3.33%
Dividend Yield--1.32%0.04%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.02%0.09%0.04%0.07%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.590.370.22
Cash Retained (M)1.221.221.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.59-0.37-0.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.630.851.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.7486.7486.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Fair Value$0.36$0.46$0.58
Upside / Downside-79.97%-74.51%-67.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.952.993.033.083.123.163.26
Payout Ratio58.56%64.85%71.13%77.42%83.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.731.942.162.382.612.853.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.99%7.99%7.99%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Year 1 PV (M)1.781.801.81
Year 2 PV (M)1.811.851.89
Year 3 PV (M)1.841.891.95
Year 4 PV (M)1.851.922.00
Year 5 PV (M)1.851.942.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)39.1941.1843.25
Equity Value (M)48.3150.5852.93
Shares Outstanding (M)86.7486.7486.74
Fair Value$0.56$0.58$0.61
Upside / Downside-69.06%-67.60%-66.10%

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