Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Humanica Public Company Limited (HUMAN.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.56 - $79.54$40.40
Multi-Stage$9.46 - $10.33$9.89
Blended Fair Value$25.14
Current Price$7.80
Upside222.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.54%0.00%0.260.200.140.110.090.090.060.230.000.00
YoY Growth--29.99%44.52%26.10%16.67%0.00%71.43%-76.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.26%1.73%1.19%0.87%0.90%1.55%0.61%2.13%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)258.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)87.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.1643.2225.93
Cash Retained (M)87.2987.2987.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.16-43.22-25.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.1344.0661.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)864.58864.58864.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$17.56$40.40$79.54
Upside / Downside125.11%417.97%919.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.80368.27392.21417.70444.85473.77487.98
Payout Ratio74.76%77.81%80.85%83.90%86.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)258.51286.54317.12350.46386.81426.39451.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)264.23266.74269.24
Year 2 PV (M)269.67274.81279.99
Year 3 PV (M)274.83282.72290.76
Year 4 PV (M)279.72290.48301.54
Year 5 PV (M)284.35298.08312.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,806.367,135.117,476.44
Equity Value (M)8,179.168,547.948,930.32
Shares Outstanding (M)864.58864.58864.58
Fair Value$9.46$9.89$10.33
Upside / Downside21.29%26.75%32.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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