Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hamilton Lane Incorporated (HLNE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$81.12 - $166.51$113.81
Multi-Stage$64.59 - $70.29$67.39
Blended Fair Value$90.60
Current Price$134.79
Upside-32.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.40%9.79%2.342.142.661.901.451.501.360.911.571.33
YoY Growth--9.63%-19.56%39.56%31.46%-3.13%10.26%49.23%-42.26%18.64%44.01%
Dividend Yield--1.65%1.74%3.32%2.84%1.59%2.22%2.36%1.89%7.16%7.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)230.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)170.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)59.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.1228.8217.29
Cash Retained (M)59.7559.7559.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.12-28.82-17.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.6430.9342.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.1151.1151.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.610.83
LTM Dividend per Share3.343.343.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.610.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.613.954.17
WACC / Discount Rate10.19%10.19%10.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$81.12$113.81$166.51
Upside / Downside-39.82%-15.57%23.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)230.58245.57261.53278.53296.63315.91325.39
Payout Ratio74.09%77.27%80.45%83.63%86.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)170.83189.75210.40232.94257.53284.32300.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.19%10.19%10.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)170.58172.19173.81
Year 2 PV (M)170.04173.27176.54
Year 3 PV (M)169.23174.09179.04
Year 4 PV (M)168.19174.66181.31
Year 5 PV (M)166.93174.99183.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,456.292,574.932,698.11
Equity Value (M)3,301.253,444.143,592.18
Shares Outstanding (M)51.1151.1151.11
Fair Value$64.59$67.39$70.29
Upside / Downside-52.08%-50.00%-47.85%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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