Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Hibbett, Inc. (HIBB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$50.80 - $71.55$61.09
Multi-Stage$72.75 - $79.94$76.27
Blended Fair Value$68.68
Current Price$86.59
Upside-20.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)99.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)90.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)19.9612.477.48
Cash Retained (M)90.8090.8090.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-19.96-12.47-7.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)70.8578.3383.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.5012.5012.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.676.266.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.676.266.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.386.987.38
WACC / Discount Rate10.32%10.32%10.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$50.80$61.09$71.55
Upside / Downside-41.34%-29.45%-17.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)99.7898.7997.8096.8295.8594.8997.74
Payout Ratio9.00%25.20%41.40%57.60%73.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.9824.8940.4955.7770.7485.4090.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.32%10.32%10.32%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.3422.5722.79
Year 2 PV (M)32.6033.2733.94
Year 3 PV (M)40.2941.5442.81
Year 4 PV (M)45.8647.7649.72
Year 5 PV (M)49.6852.2754.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)718.86756.30795.27
Equity Value (M)909.64953.71999.51
Shares Outstanding (M)12.5012.5012.50
Fair Value$72.75$76.27$79.94
Upside / Downside-15.98%-11.91%-7.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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