Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk. (GUNA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$219.80 - $327.46$271.06
Multi-Stage$412.92 - $454.32$433.21
Blended Fair Value$352.14
Current Price$268.00
Upside31.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.008.643.245.760.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%166.36%-43.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65,688.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17,949.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)47,738.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,137.618,211.004,926.60
Cash Retained (M)47,738.5547,738.5547,738.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,137.61-8,211.00-4,926.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)34,600.9439,527.5442,811.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,437.502,437.502,437.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.2016.2217.56
LTM Dividend per Share7.367.367.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.2016.2217.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.5623.5824.93
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$219.80$271.06$327.46
Upside / Downside-17.99%1.14%22.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65,688.0365,031.1564,380.8363,737.0363,099.6662,468.6664,342.72
Payout Ratio27.33%39.86%52.40%64.93%77.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17,949.4825,921.5933,732.4741,384.5448,880.1956,221.7959,517.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)23,844.6124,087.9224,331.23
Year 2 PV (M)28,543.3629,128.8529,720.28
Year 3 PV (M)32,212.4433,208.6334,225.15
Year 4 PV (M)34,998.2936,448.8137,943.95
Year 5 PV (M)37,029.4438,957.6540,965.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)849,874.48894,129.41940,209.01
Equity Value (M)1,006,502.611,055,961.261,107,394.98
Shares Outstanding (M)2,437.502,437.502,437.50
Fair Value$412.92$433.21$454.32
Upside / Downside54.08%61.65%69.52%

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