Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Granite Real Estate Investment Trust (GRP-UN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - IndustrialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$350.43 - $931.82$873.25
Multi-Stage$135.40 - $148.00$141.59
Blended Fair Value$507.42
Current Price$77.59
Upside553.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.66%7.25%3.353.293.263.082.632.432.021.981.821.75
YoY Growth--1.93%0.80%5.86%17.18%8.27%20.36%2.03%8.44%4.40%4.96%
Dividend Yield--4.97%4.33%3.89%3.19%3.44%4.18%3.16%3.88%3.91%4.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)290.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)208.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)82.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.1236.3321.80
Cash Retained (M)82.2182.2182.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.12-36.33-21.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.0945.8860.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.0362.0362.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.740.97
LTM Dividend per Share3.363.363.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.740.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.754.104.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$350.43$873.25$931.82
Upside / Downside351.64%1,025.47%1,100.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)290.62309.51329.62351.05373.87398.17410.11
Payout Ratio71.71%75.37%79.03%82.68%86.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)208.41233.27260.49290.26322.81358.35379.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.63%6.63%6.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)216.72218.77220.83
Year 2 PV (M)224.83229.11233.43
Year 3 PV (M)232.75239.43246.24
Year 4 PV (M)240.47249.72259.23
Year 5 PV (M)248.00259.98272.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,235.517,584.987,947.84
Equity Value (M)8,398.278,782.009,179.98
Shares Outstanding (M)62.0362.0362.03
Fair Value$135.40$141.59$148.00
Upside / Downside74.51%82.48%90.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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