Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Global Connections Public Company Limited (GC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.90 - $92.73$86.90
Multi-Stage$14.16 - $15.48$14.81
Blended Fair Value$50.85
Current Price$4.00
Upside1,171.34%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.47%10.57%0.370.360.320.370.210.200.190.180.200.11
YoY Growth--2.85%11.59%-13.73%73.88%4.55%10.00%5.26%-9.52%82.61%-20.69%
Dividend Yield--7.36%6.62%6.10%6.14%6.30%9.20%7.71%7.20%7.59%5.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)200.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)171.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)29.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.1625.1015.06
Cash Retained (M)29.2129.2129.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.16-25.10-15.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)-10.954.1114.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)430.67430.67430.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.400.400.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$39.90$86.90$92.73
Upside / Downside897.58%2,072.49%2,218.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)200.81213.86227.76242.56258.33275.12283.37
Payout Ratio85.45%86.36%87.27%88.18%89.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)171.60184.69198.77213.90230.15247.61262.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)171.82173.44175.07
Year 2 PV (M)172.02175.29178.60
Year 3 PV (M)172.20177.14182.18
Year 4 PV (M)172.36178.99185.81
Year 5 PV (M)172.51180.84189.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,238.395,491.415,754.11
Equity Value (M)6,099.306,377.126,665.27
Shares Outstanding (M)430.67430.67430.67
Fair Value$14.16$14.81$15.48
Upside / Downside254.06%270.19%286.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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