Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fervi S.p.A. (FVI.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$217.18 - $437.89$410.36
Multi-Stage$68.35 - $74.77$71.50
Blended Fair Value$240.93
Current Price$14.90
Upside1,516.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.62%0.00%0.470.400.350.260.210.200.150.000.000.00
YoY Growth--17.42%14.29%34.70%23.83%4.92%35.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.11%2.25%2.33%1.78%1.83%1.79%1.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.120.700.42
Cash Retained (M)2.322.322.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.12-0.70-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.201.621.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.542.542.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.470.640.75
LTM Dividend per Share1.291.291.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.470.640.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.761.932.04
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$217.18$410.36$437.89
Upside / Downside1,357.60%2,654.12%2,838.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.595.956.346.757.197.667.89
Payout Ratio58.52%64.82%71.11%77.41%83.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.273.864.515.236.026.897.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.593.633.66
Year 2 PV (M)3.913.994.06
Year 3 PV (M)4.224.354.47
Year 4 PV (M)4.534.714.88
Year 5 PV (M)4.835.075.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)152.46159.82167.47
Equity Value (M)173.55181.55189.85
Shares Outstanding (M)2.542.542.54
Fair Value$68.35$71.50$74.77
Upside / Downside358.71%379.86%401.80%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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