Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Fibra Shop (FSHOP13.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.38 - $49.43$40.36
Multi-Stage$67.33 - $74.19$70.69
Blended Fair Value$55.53
Current Price$8.86
Upside526.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.420.120.080.450.300.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--250.00%60.00%-83.33%49.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.85%1.93%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,414.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)360.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,054.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)482.85301.78181.07
Cash Retained (M)2,054.262,054.262,054.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-482.85-301.78-181.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,571.411,752.481,873.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)663.73663.73663.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.372.642.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.540.540.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.372.642.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.913.183.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$32.38$40.36$49.43
Upside / Downside265.48%355.55%457.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,414.262,390.122,366.222,342.562,319.132,295.942,364.82
Payout Ratio14.91%29.93%44.95%59.96%74.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)360.00715.341,063.541,404.701,738.942,066.352,187.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)662.99669.75676.52
Year 2 PV (M)913.56932.30951.23
Year 3 PV (M)1,118.311,152.891,188.19
Year 4 PV (M)1,283.081,336.261,391.07
Year 5 PV (M)1,413.081,486.661,563.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)39,296.9741,343.2643,473.91
Equity Value (M)44,687.9946,921.1349,244.19
Shares Outstanding (M)663.73663.73663.73
Fair Value$67.33$70.69$74.19
Upside / Downside659.92%697.89%737.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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