Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - SpecialtySector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.75 - $275.38$95.66
Multi-Stage$30.29 - $33.02$31.63
Blended Fair Value$63.64
Current Price$10.88
Upside484.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.49%29.28%0.430.250.000.130.120.120.470.360.130.09
YoY Growth--76.24%0.00%-100.00%7.03%-3.80%-73.70%30.23%173.24%49.05%166.91%
Dividend Yield--3.90%2.27%0.00%0.93%1.07%2.05%7.13%4.34%1.19%0.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.778.615.17
Cash Retained (M)4.824.824.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.77-8.61-5.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.95-3.79-0.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.7449.7449.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.08-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.291.291.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.08-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.111.211.28
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.75$95.66$275.38
Upside / Downside357.29%779.20%2,431.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.8773.3578.1183.1988.6094.3697.19
Payout Ratio93.00%92.40%91.80%91.20%90.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64.0567.7771.7175.8780.2784.9289.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.85%7.85%7.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)62.2562.8463.43
Year 2 PV (M)60.5061.6562.81
Year 3 PV (M)58.7960.4862.20
Year 4 PV (M)57.1459.3361.59
Year 5 PV (M)55.5258.2060.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,212.121,270.671,331.45
Equity Value (M)1,506.321,573.171,642.47
Shares Outstanding (M)49.7449.7449.74
Fair Value$30.29$31.63$33.02
Upside / Downside178.36%190.72%203.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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