Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Focus Financial Partners Inc. (FOCS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.13 - $25.09$17.06
Multi-Stage$8.95 - $9.78$9.36
Blended Fair Value$13.21
Current Price$52.51
Upside-74.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.63%0.00%0.290.410.280.260.030.070.100.080.000.00
YoY Growth---28.87%43.88%8.80%652.22%-52.83%-26.17%24.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.56%0.89%0.68%1.13%0.09%0.19%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.616.633.98
Cash Retained (M)42.8442.8442.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.61-6.63-3.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.2336.2138.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)79.4679.4679.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.530.580.62
WACC / Discount Rate10.15%10.15%10.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.13$17.06$25.09
Upside / Downside-76.90%-67.50%-52.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.0456.4960.1664.0768.2372.6774.85
Payout Ratio19.23%33.39%47.54%61.69%75.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.2018.8628.6039.5251.7565.4069.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.15%10.15%10.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.9617.1217.28
Year 2 PV (M)23.1323.5724.02
Year 3 PV (M)28.7529.5830.42
Year 4 PV (M)33.8635.1636.50
Year 5 PV (M)38.4840.3442.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)570.13597.67626.26
Equity Value (M)711.31743.44776.75
Shares Outstanding (M)79.4679.4679.46
Fair Value$8.95$9.36$9.78
Upside / Downside-82.95%-82.18%-81.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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