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FNCB Bancorp, Inc. (FNCB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.85 - $139.36$130.60
Multi-Stage$19.65 - $21.49$20.55
Blended Fair Value$75.58
Current Price$5.95
Upside1,170.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS20.00%0.00%0.360.330.270.220.200.140.110.080.000.00
YoY Growth--9.05%20.14%22.04%10.35%41.06%31.30%45.84%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.05%5.32%2.90%2.98%2.95%1.86%1.19%1.18%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.771.731.04
Cash Retained (M)6.736.736.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.77-1.73-1.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.965.005.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.7719.7719.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.250.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.65
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.85$130.60$139.36
Upside / Downside737.86%2,095.01%2,242.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13.8514.7515.7116.7317.8218.9819.55
Payout Ratio51.41%59.13%66.84%74.56%82.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.128.7210.5012.4814.6617.0818.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.108.188.25
Year 2 PV (M)9.059.239.40
Year 3 PV (M)9.9910.2710.57
Year 4 PV (M)10.9011.3211.75
Year 5 PV (M)11.7912.3612.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)338.54354.89371.87
Equity Value (M)388.37406.25424.79
Shares Outstanding (M)19.7719.7719.77
Fair Value$19.65$20.55$21.49
Upside / Downside230.20%245.40%261.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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