Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fibra Mty, S.A.P.I. de C.V. (FMTY14.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.25 - $26.14$21.43
Multi-Stage$35.67 - $39.23$37.41
Blended Fair Value$29.42
Current Price$13.14
Upside123.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS104.14%0.00%0.850.050.430.030.070.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1,769.37%-89.38%1,446.41%-61.71%201.72%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.20%0.40%3.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,826.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,242.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,584.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)965.35603.34362.01
Cash Retained (M)2,584.702,584.702,584.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-965.35-603.34-362.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,619.351,981.352,222.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,428.212,428.212,428.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.820.92
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.820.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.591.741.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.25$21.43$26.14
Upside / Downside31.28%63.10%98.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,826.744,778.484,730.694,683.384,636.554,590.184,727.89
Payout Ratio46.45%55.16%63.87%72.58%81.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,242.052,635.833,021.513,399.213,769.064,131.174,373.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,437.722,462.602,487.47
Year 2 PV (M)2,584.392,637.402,690.95
Year 3 PV (M)2,688.932,772.082,856.94
Year 4 PV (M)2,757.412,871.692,989.49
Year 5 PV (M)2,795.172,940.723,092.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,342.1677,161.2681,137.82
Equity Value (M)86,605.7790,845.7495,254.93
Shares Outstanding (M)2,428.212,428.212,428.21
Fair Value$35.67$37.41$39.23
Upside / Downside171.43%184.72%198.54%

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