Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Fifth District Savings Bank (FDSB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.43 - $9.83$8.02
Multi-Stage$13.24 - $14.60$13.91
Blended Fair Value$10.96
Current Price$13.83
Upside-20.72%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.740.460.28
Cash Retained (M)3.693.693.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.74-0.46-0.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.953.233.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.145.145.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.630.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.630.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.43$8.02$9.83
Upside / Downside-53.48%-42.00%-28.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.713.673.633.603.563.523.63
Payout Ratio0.35%18.28%36.21%54.14%72.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.010.671.321.952.573.173.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.620.630.63
Year 2 PV (M)1.131.151.18
Year 3 PV (M)1.551.601.65
Year 4 PV (M)1.891.972.05
Year 5 PV (M)2.172.282.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)60.6663.8267.11
Equity Value (M)68.0371.4675.03
Shares Outstanding (M)5.145.145.14
Fair Value$13.24$13.91$14.60
Upside / Downside-4.27%0.55%5.57%

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