Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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First Capital, Inc. (FCAP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.41 - $181.64$105.70
Multi-Stage$77.43 - $84.94$81.12
Blended Fair Value$93.41
Current Price$45.80
Upside103.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.26%4.95%1.131.091.051.050.970.960.930.860.840.73
YoY Growth--3.69%3.24%-0.06%8.20%1.43%3.48%7.56%2.34%15.03%5.33%
Dividend Yield--2.95%3.81%4.10%2.68%2.00%1.60%1.77%2.15%2.49%2.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.051.280.77
Cash Retained (M)7.347.347.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.05-1.28-0.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)5.296.066.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.353.353.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.581.811.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.880.880.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.581.811.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.452.682.84
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Fair Value$69.41$105.70$181.64
Upside / Downside51.56%130.79%296.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10.2710.6811.1011.5411.9912.4712.84
Payout Ratio28.53%40.83%53.12%65.41%77.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.934.365.907.559.3211.2211.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.59%6.59%6.59%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)4.054.094.13
Year 2 PV (M)5.095.195.29
Year 3 PV (M)6.056.236.41
Year 4 PV (M)6.957.227.50
Year 5 PV (M)7.778.168.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)229.39240.75252.56
Equity Value (M)259.31271.64284.45
Shares Outstanding (M)3.353.353.35
Fair Value$77.43$81.12$84.94
Upside / Downside69.07%77.11%85.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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