Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ESAB Corporation (ESAB)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.21 - $38.86$32.92
Multi-Stage$41.37 - $45.49$43.39
Blended Fair Value$38.16
Current Price$117.56
Upside-67.54%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.280.220.100.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--27.36%120.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.20%0.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)242.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)222.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.5730.3518.21
Cash Retained (M)222.16222.16222.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.57-30.35-18.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)173.59191.80203.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8360.8360.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.153.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.153.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.193.493.69
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$27.21$32.92$38.86
Upside / Downside-76.86%-71.99%-66.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)242.84240.41238.00235.62233.27230.94237.86
Payout Ratio8.52%24.81%41.11%57.41%73.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.6859.6597.84135.26171.93207.84220.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)53.9254.4755.02
Year 2 PV (M)79.9681.6083.25
Year 3 PV (M)99.93103.02106.17
Year 4 PV (M)114.82119.58124.48
Year 5 PV (M)125.48132.01138.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,042.742,149.112,259.86
Equity Value (M)2,516.842,639.782,767.60
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8360.8360.83
Fair Value$41.37$43.39$45.49
Upside / Downside-64.81%-63.09%-61.30%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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