Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Energisa S.A. (ENGI11.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.13 - $287.09$100.59
Multi-Stage$31.19 - $34.03$32.58
Blended Fair Value$66.58
Current Price$50.86
Upside30.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.54%22.15%0.700.550.690.390.130.200.130.090.050.12
YoY Growth--27.03%-20.56%77.02%194.87%-33.38%57.81%41.72%64.43%-54.50%25.93%
Dividend Yield--1.75%1.16%1.72%0.80%0.29%0.53%0.31%0.26%0.24%0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,300.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,515.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)785.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)660.10412.56247.54
Cash Retained (M)785.35785.35785.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-660.10-412.56-247.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)125.25372.79537.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,286.342,286.342,286.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.160.24
LTM Dividend per Share1.101.101.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.160.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.151.261.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$52.13$100.59$287.09
Upside / Downside2.49%97.77%464.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,300.493,515.023,743.503,986.824,245.974,521.964,657.61
Payout Ratio76.21%78.96%81.72%84.48%87.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,515.142,775.603,059.303,368.153,704.234,069.764,308.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,549.712,573.882,598.04
Year 2 PV (M)2,581.602,630.772,680.41
Year 3 PV (M)2,610.912,685.862,762.23
Year 4 PV (M)2,637.742,739.182,843.52
Year 5 PV (M)2,662.172,790.762,924.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)58,259.0361,072.9663,994.59
Equity Value (M)71,301.1674,493.4077,803.05
Shares Outstanding (M)2,286.342,286.342,286.34
Fair Value$31.19$32.58$34.03
Upside / Downside-38.68%-35.94%-33.09%

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