Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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The Eastern Company (EML)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.61 - $16.16$13.21
Multi-Stage$18.44 - $20.26$19.33
Blended Fair Value$16.27
Current Price$24.58
Upside-33.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.10%-0.90%0.450.450.450.450.450.450.450.450.450.46
YoY Growth---1.28%0.99%-0.62%0.04%0.39%-0.45%0.07%0.12%-2.12%-5.92%
Dividend Yield--1.72%1.33%2.30%1.94%1.70%2.22%1.64%1.58%2.10%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.460.910.55
Cash Retained (M)4.584.584.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.46-0.91-0.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.123.674.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.116.116.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.951.041.10
WACC / Discount Rate7.82%7.82%7.82%
Growth Rate-1.07%-0.07%0.93%
Fair Value$10.61$13.21$16.16
Upside / Downside-56.82%-46.24%-34.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.287.277.277.267.267.257.47
Payout Ratio37.05%47.64%58.23%68.82%79.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.703.464.235.005.766.536.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.82%7.82%7.82%
Growth Rate-1.07%-0.07%0.93%
Year 1 PV (M)3.183.213.24
Year 2 PV (M)3.573.643.71
Year 3 PV (M)3.873.994.11
Year 4 PV (M)4.104.264.44
Year 5 PV (M)4.264.484.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)93.6498.47103.50
Equity Value (M)112.61118.05123.71
Shares Outstanding (M)6.116.116.11
Fair Value$18.44$19.33$20.26
Upside / Downside-24.98%-21.36%-17.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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