Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Emera Incorporated (EMA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$342.48 - $782.18$733.01
Multi-Stage$123.31 - $134.96$129.03
Blended Fair Value$431.02
Current Price$66.76
Upside545.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.31%9.86%1.801.641.581.491.371.271.160.960.740.54
YoY Growth--10.25%3.39%6.55%8.31%8.20%9.25%20.56%29.86%36.42%-22.86%
Dividend Yield--2.98%3.48%2.85%2.40%2.45%2.29%2.33%2.36%1.57%1.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,175.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)581.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)594.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)235.00146.8888.13
Cash Retained (M)594.00594.00594.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-235.00-146.88-88.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)359.00447.13505.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)298.24298.24298.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.201.501.70
LTM Dividend per Share1.951.951.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.201.501.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.153.453.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.31%6.31%7.31%
Fair Value$342.48$733.01$782.18
Upside / Downside413.00%997.98%1,071.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,175.001,249.191,328.071,411.931,501.091,595.871,643.75
Payout Ratio49.45%57.56%65.67%73.78%81.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)581.00719.00872.121,041.711,229.231,436.291,520.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.31%6.31%7.31%
Year 1 PV (M)670.13676.50682.86
Year 2 PV (M)757.59772.05786.64
Year 3 PV (M)843.40867.65892.37
Year 4 PV (M)927.58963.311,000.07
Year 5 PV (M)1,010.151,059.031,109.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,566.1734,141.9635,778.15
Equity Value (M)36,775.0338,480.5040,249.88
Shares Outstanding (M)298.24298.24298.24
Fair Value$123.31$129.03$134.96
Upside / Downside84.70%93.27%102.16%

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