Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ekachai Medical Care Public Company Limited (EKH.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.60 - $58.34$54.67
Multi-Stage$8.13 - $8.88$8.50
Blended Fair Value$31.58
Current Price$5.45
Upside479.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.15%0.00%0.520.260.090.170.150.120.090.070.010.00
YoY Growth--99.20%176.87%-43.26%9.11%27.27%37.50%20.00%403.65%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.10%3.44%1.24%2.46%2.86%3.24%1.72%1.41%0.24%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)243.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)222.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)48.6930.4318.26
Cash Retained (M)20.8620.8620.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-48.69-30.43-18.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)-27.82-9.572.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)829.88829.88829.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.03-0.010.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.60$54.67$58.34
Upside / Downside241.34%903.11%970.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)243.43259.25276.10294.05313.16333.52343.52
Payout Ratio91.43%91.14%90.86%90.57%90.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)222.57236.29250.86266.33282.74300.17317.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)219.11221.18223.26
Year 2 PV (M)215.70219.81223.95
Year 3 PV (M)212.34218.44224.65
Year 4 PV (M)209.03217.07225.34
Year 5 PV (M)205.78215.71226.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,686.425,961.086,246.25
Equity Value (M)6,748.377,053.297,369.48
Shares Outstanding (M)829.88829.88829.88
Fair Value$8.13$8.50$8.88
Upside / Downside49.21%55.95%62.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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