Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Electricity Generating Authority Of Thailand- North Bangkok Power Plant Block 1 Infrastructure Fund (EGATIF.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.59 - $3.54$3.07
Multi-Stage$5.29 - $5.84$5.56
Blended Fair Value$4.32
Current Price$5.85
Upside-26.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-13.98%0.00%0.370.350.230.620.840.790.780.720.520.11
YoY Growth--4.67%54.16%-62.93%-25.99%6.35%0.38%8.82%39.81%368.18%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.28%6.00%3.45%5.58%6.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,056.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)236.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)820.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)211.36132.1079.26
Cash Retained (M)820.51820.51820.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-211.36-132.10-79.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)609.15688.41741.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,085.502,085.502,085.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.330.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate-6.27%-5.27%-4.27%
Fair Value$2.59$3.07$3.54
Upside / Downside-55.77%-47.54%-39.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,056.791,001.09948.33898.34850.99806.14830.32
Payout Ratio22.36%35.89%49.42%62.94%76.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)236.28359.26468.62565.45650.77725.52768.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.41%8.41%8.41%
Growth Rate-6.27%-5.27%-4.27%
Year 1 PV (M)327.88331.38334.87
Year 2 PV (M)390.32398.70407.16
Year 3 PV (M)429.83443.74457.94
Year 4 PV (M)451.48471.06491.26
Year 5 PV (M)459.37484.41510.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,981.139,470.569,981.11
Equity Value (M)11,040.0211,599.8412,182.86
Shares Outstanding (M)2,085.502,085.502,085.50
Fair Value$5.29$5.56$5.84
Upside / Downside-9.51%-4.92%-0.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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