Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

ECSC Group plc (ECSC.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.95 - $99.39$76.64
Multi-Stage$219.18 - $242.01$230.37
Blended Fair Value$153.50
Current Price$0.53
Upside29,138.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20212020201920182017201520142013
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.23%27.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.06%0.05%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)996.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)220.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)776.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)199.34124.5874.75
Cash Retained (M)776.37776.37776.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-199.34-124.58-74.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)577.03651.78701.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)198.92198.92198.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.903.283.53
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.903.283.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.014.384.63
WACC / Discount Rate4.66%4.66%4.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$58.95$76.64$99.39
Upside / Downside11,129.05%14,497.92%18,830.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)996.68986.71976.84967.08957.40947.83976.27
Payout Ratio22.10%35.68%49.26%62.84%76.42%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)220.31352.09481.22607.73731.66853.05903.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.66%4.66%4.66%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)333.01336.41339.80
Year 2 PV (M)430.46439.29448.21
Year 3 PV (M)514.16530.06546.29
Year 4 PV (M)585.46609.72634.73
Year 5 PV (M)645.59679.21714.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,091.0643,230.7745,458.70
Equity Value (M)43,599.7445,825.4648,141.94
Shares Outstanding (M)198.92198.92198.92
Fair Value$219.18$230.37$242.01
Upside / Downside41,648.35%43,779.56%45,997.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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