Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Entergy Arkansas, Inc. 1M BD 4.875%66 (EAI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$597.13 - $1,475.06$1,382.35
Multi-Stage$210.27 - $230.36$220.13
Blended Fair Value$801.24
Current Price$21.17
Upside3,684.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.94%33.79%1.231.660.340.200.380.460.370.070.030.03
YoY Growth---25.66%384.88%72.00%-47.37%-17.39%23.18%468.28%147.75%-3.52%-59.27%
Dividend Yield--5.92%7.29%1.52%0.79%1.48%1.85%1.49%0.27%0.12%0.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,867.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)181.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,686.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)373.48233.43140.06
Cash Retained (M)1,686.081,686.081,686.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-373.48-233.43-140.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,312.601,452.651,546.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)251.77251.77251.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.215.776.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.215.776.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.936.496.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.55%6.55%6.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$597.13$1,382.35$1,475.06
Upside / Downside2,720.64%6,429.74%6,867.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,867.421,988.802,118.072,255.752,402.372,558.522,635.28
Payout Ratio9.71%25.77%41.83%57.88%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)181.34512.48885.911,305.721,776.362,302.672,437.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.55%6.55%6.55%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)476.47480.99485.50
Year 2 PV (M)765.78780.36795.09
Year 3 PV (M)1,049.351,079.471,110.16
Year 4 PV (M)1,327.261,378.301,430.81
Year 5 PV (M)1,599.611,676.871,757.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,722.5550,027.5652,420.80
Equity Value (M)52,941.0155,423.5657,999.45
Shares Outstanding (M)251.77251.77251.77
Fair Value$210.27$220.13$230.36
Upside / Downside893.25%939.83%988.16%

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