Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Frencken Group Limited (E28.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.83 - $17.48$16.38
Multi-Stage$9.93 - $10.94$10.42
Blended Fair Value$13.40
Current Price$1.24
Upside980.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.44%5.59%0.020.040.040.030.030.020.020.010.010.01
YoY Growth---37.36%-11.86%37.67%0.39%40.79%-9.87%102.31%63.54%-24.91%-28.42%
Dividend Yield--2.17%2.19%3.65%1.52%2.26%2.29%4.24%1.92%1.92%4.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.784.862.92
Cash Retained (M)27.7727.7727.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.78-4.86-2.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.9922.9124.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)427.51427.51427.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.08
WACC / Discount Rate-0.27%-0.27%-0.27%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$14.83$16.38$17.48
Upside / Downside1,095.77%1,220.72%1,309.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.9240.0141.1342.2843.4644.6846.02
Payout Ratio28.64%40.91%53.19%65.46%77.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.1516.3721.8727.6833.7840.2142.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.27%-0.27%-0.27%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)16.2516.4116.57
Year 2 PV (M)21.5721.9922.42
Year 3 PV (M)27.0927.9028.72
Year 4 PV (M)32.8434.1535.50
Year 5 PV (M)38.8240.7642.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,109.004,314.824,528.81
Equity Value (M)4,245.574,456.044,674.80
Shares Outstanding (M)427.51427.51427.51
Fair Value$9.93$10.42$10.94
Upside / Downside700.89%740.59%781.86%

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