Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Amdocs Limited (DOX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62.21 - $105.34$81.01
Multi-Stage$87.99 - $96.48$92.16
Blended Fair Value$86.59
Current Price$91.24
Upside-5.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.46%8.33%2.011.901.781.671.591.471.321.201.090.98
YoY Growth--5.86%6.27%7.19%4.85%8.17%11.14%9.92%10.53%11.16%8.45%
Dividend Yield--2.20%2.23%2.03%1.83%2.12%2.07%1.83%2.05%1.64%1.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)565.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)224.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)341.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)113.1070.6942.41
Cash Retained (M)341.10341.10341.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-113.10-70.69-42.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)228.00270.41298.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)111.75111.75111.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.042.422.67
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.042.422.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.054.434.68
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate1.20%2.20%3.20%
Fair Value$62.21$81.01$105.34
Upside / Downside-31.82%-11.21%15.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)565.49577.91590.60603.57616.82630.37649.28
Payout Ratio39.68%49.75%59.81%69.87%79.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)224.39287.48353.23421.73493.07567.33600.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.78%7.78%7.78%
Growth Rate1.20%2.20%3.20%
Year 1 PV (M)264.12266.73269.34
Year 2 PV (M)298.15304.07310.05
Year 3 PV (M)327.03336.82346.81
Year 4 PV (M)351.27365.36379.88
Year 5 PV (M)371.33390.05409.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,221.048,635.359,066.18
Equity Value (M)9,832.9410,298.3710,781.75
Shares Outstanding (M)111.75111.75111.75
Fair Value$87.99$92.16$96.48
Upside / Downside-3.56%1.00%5.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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