Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dover Corporation (DOV)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126.28 - $185.31$154.69
Multi-Stage$189.63 - $208.37$198.82
Blended Fair Value$176.75
Current Price$166.83
Upside5.95%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.07%0.91%2.052.062.082.082.062.042.052.061.941.87
YoY Growth---0.42%-1.13%0.23%0.91%0.75%-0.48%-0.14%5.82%4.02%-0.20%
Dividend Yield--1.17%1.17%1.37%1.32%1.50%2.43%2.14%2.59%3.00%3.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,247.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)283.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,963.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)449.57280.98168.59
Cash Retained (M)1,963.931,963.931,963.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-449.57-280.98-168.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,514.361,682.951,795.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.14138.14138.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.9612.1813.00
LTM Dividend per Share2.062.062.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.9612.1813.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.0214.2415.05
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate-1.09%-0.09%0.91%
Fair Value$126.28$154.69$185.31
Upside / Downside-24.31%-7.28%11.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,247.862,245.942,244.012,242.092,240.172,238.252,305.40
Payout Ratio12.63%28.10%43.58%59.05%74.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)283.93631.22977.911,324.011,669.512,014.422,132.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.11%9.11%9.11%
Growth Rate-1.09%-0.09%0.91%
Year 1 PV (M)572.72578.51584.30
Year 2 PV (M)805.05821.41837.94
Year 3 PV (M)988.961,019.261,050.17
Year 4 PV (M)1,131.471,177.921,225.79
Year 5 PV (M)1,238.701,302.591,369.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,458.0322,564.8623,716.90
Equity Value (M)26,194.9327,464.5628,784.20
Shares Outstanding (M)138.14138.14138.14
Fair Value$189.63$198.82$208.37
Upside / Downside13.66%19.17%24.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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