Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Djerriwarrh Investments Limited (DJW.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.39 - $3.55$2.94
Multi-Stage$5.23 - $5.74$5.48
Blended Fair Value$4.21
Current Price$3.03
Upside39.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.57%-4.55%0.140.130.120.100.080.140.150.150.190.22
YoY Growth--2.43%11.28%20.45%23.50%-42.67%-5.28%0.55%-22.55%-12.43%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.48%4.46%4.19%3.46%2.61%5.48%4.24%4.34%5.14%5.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)78.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.639.775.86
Cash Retained (M)16.5916.5916.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.63-9.77-5.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.976.8310.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)262.92262.92262.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.57%-1.57%-0.57%
Fair Value$2.39$2.94$3.55
Upside / Downside-21.14%-2.84%17.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)78.1476.9175.7174.5273.3572.2074.37
Payout Ratio78.76%81.01%83.26%85.51%87.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.5462.3163.0363.7264.3764.9868.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.57%-1.57%-0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)57.5758.1658.75
Year 2 PV (M)53.8154.9256.04
Year 3 PV (M)50.2651.8353.42
Year 4 PV (M)46.9248.8750.89
Year 5 PV (M)43.7646.0648.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,122.611,181.411,242.66
Equity Value (M)1,374.941,441.251,510.21
Shares Outstanding (M)262.92262.92262.92
Fair Value$5.23$5.48$5.74
Upside / Downside72.59%80.92%89.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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