Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Donaldson Company, Inc. (DCI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.70 - $74.62$56.32
Multi-Stage$49.19 - $53.84$51.47
Blended Fair Value$53.90
Current Price$84.25
Upside-36.03%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS4.39%3.76%1.101.030.960.920.900.890.840.790.770.76
YoY Growth--7.41%7.34%3.91%2.71%0.75%6.72%5.28%2.49%1.32%-0.02%
Dividend Yield--1.31%1.41%1.66%1.61%1.47%1.88%1.58%1.55%1.64%2.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)381.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)247.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.3847.7428.64
Cash Retained (M)247.70247.70247.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.38-47.74-28.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)171.32199.96219.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.40119.40119.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.431.671.83
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.431.671.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.562.802.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate2.52%3.52%4.52%
Fair Value$42.70$56.32$74.62
Upside / Downside-49.32%-33.15%-11.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)381.90395.36409.29423.71438.65454.10467.73
Payout Ratio35.14%46.11%57.08%68.06%79.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134.20182.31233.64288.36346.65408.69432.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate2.52%3.52%4.52%
Year 1 PV (M)166.15167.77169.39
Year 2 PV (M)194.05197.85201.69
Year 3 PV (M)218.27224.72231.29
Year 4 PV (M)239.13248.59258.34
Year 5 PV (M)256.93269.70282.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,798.565,037.195,285.22
Equity Value (M)5,873.076,145.826,428.91
Shares Outstanding (M)119.40119.40119.40
Fair Value$49.19$51.47$53.84
Upside / Downside-41.62%-38.91%-36.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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