Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DigitalBridge Group, Inc. (DBRG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.94 - $10.57$7.89
Multi-Stage$4.69 - $5.12$4.90
Blended Fair Value$6.40
Current Price$11.70
Upside-45.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-49.88%-25.69%0.040.040.010.000.621.251.812.801.050.96
YoY Growth--4.54%295.90%0.00%-100.00%-50.26%-31.04%-35.60%166.13%9.43%25.60%
Dividend Yield--0.45%0.19%0.08%0.00%2.39%17.79%8.19%12.47%2.04%2.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)71.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)64.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.358.975.38
Cash Retained (M)64.7164.7164.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.35-8.97-5.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.3555.7459.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)171.95171.95171.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.290.320.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.290.320.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate11.20%11.20%11.20%
Growth Rate5.28%6.28%7.28%
Fair Value$5.94$7.89$10.57
Upside / Downside-49.24%-32.56%-9.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)71.7776.2781.0686.1591.5697.31100.23
Payout Ratio9.84%25.87%41.90%57.93%73.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.0619.7333.9749.9167.7387.5892.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.20%11.20%11.20%
Growth Rate5.28%6.28%7.28%
Year 1 PV (M)17.5817.7417.91
Year 2 PV (M)26.9627.4727.99
Year 3 PV (M)35.2936.3037.34
Year 4 PV (M)42.6544.3045.99
Year 5 PV (M)49.1451.5153.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)634.51665.22697.11
Equity Value (M)806.11842.55880.32
Shares Outstanding (M)171.95171.95171.95
Fair Value$4.69$4.90$5.12
Upside / Downside-59.93%-58.12%-56.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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