Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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CapitaLand India Trust (CY6U.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.55 - $57.91$54.27
Multi-Stage$8.65 - $9.47$9.05
Blended Fair Value$31.66
Current Price$1.05
Upside2,915.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192019201820172016
DPS-5.43%7.59%0.070.070.070.070.050.090.030.060.040.04
YoY Growth--0.57%-1.75%-5.56%59.59%-49.21%159.55%-40.05%50.42%6.10%10.68%
Dividend Yield--7.00%6.37%6.30%5.11%3.30%5.77%2.54%5.71%3.36%3.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)390.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)298.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)78.1348.8329.30
Cash Retained (M)298.64298.64298.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-78.13-48.83-29.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)220.50249.80269.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,341.721,341.721,341.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.250.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.55$54.27$57.91
Upside / Downside2,428.87%5,068.23%5,414.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)390.67416.06443.10471.90502.58535.25551.30
Payout Ratio23.56%36.85%50.13%63.42%76.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92.03153.30222.15299.30385.54481.72509.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)142.69144.05145.40
Year 2 PV (M)192.47196.13199.83
Year 3 PV (M)241.36248.29255.35
Year 4 PV (M)289.40300.53311.97
Year 5 PV (M)336.58352.83369.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,401.5110,903.9111,425.54
Equity Value (M)11,604.0112,145.7412,707.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,341.721,341.721,341.72
Fair Value$8.65$9.05$9.47
Upside / Downside723.68%762.13%802.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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