Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Crane NXT, Co. (CXT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.41 - $26.36$22.31
Multi-Stage$29.01 - $31.86$30.40
Blended Fair Value$26.36
Current Price$53.90
Upside-51.10%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.05%0.00%0.630.410.001.741.731.611.441.351.331.32
YoY Growth--54.43%0.00%-100.00%0.20%7.73%11.62%6.51%1.55%0.78%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.23%0.67%0.00%4.62%5.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)116.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.9419.3411.60
Cash Retained (M)116.30116.30116.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.94-19.34-11.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)85.3696.96104.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.9357.9357.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.471.671.81
LTM Dividend per Share0.660.660.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.471.671.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.142.342.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$18.41$22.31$26.36
Upside / Downside-65.84%-58.61%-51.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154.70153.15151.62150.11148.60147.12151.53
Payout Ratio24.82%37.86%50.89%63.93%76.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.4057.9877.1795.96114.37132.41140.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)52.4853.0153.55
Year 2 PV (M)63.2164.5165.82
Year 3 PV (M)71.1573.3575.59
Year 4 PV (M)76.7579.9383.21
Year 5 PV (M)80.4284.6088.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,336.191,405.771,478.22
Equity Value (M)1,680.201,761.181,845.35
Shares Outstanding (M)57.9357.9357.93
Fair Value$29.01$30.40$31.86
Upside / Downside-46.18%-43.59%-40.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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