Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

CSW Industrials, Inc. (CSWI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$198.46 - $516.94$301.75
Multi-Stage$134.58 - $147.14$140.74
Blended Fair Value$221.25
Current Price$303.00
Upside-26.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS12.39%5.80%0.870.710.630.570.480.490.000.000.000.02
YoY Growth--23.52%11.84%11.59%17.02%-0.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-96.38%
Dividend Yield--0.29%0.27%0.38%0.55%0.41%0.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)126.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.7217.9510.77
Cash Retained (M)126.46126.46126.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.72-17.95-10.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)97.74108.51115.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.7216.7216.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.846.496.92
LTM Dividend per Share1.021.021.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.846.496.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.877.517.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$198.46$301.75$516.94
Upside / Downside-34.50%-0.41%70.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.59152.92162.86173.45184.72196.73202.63
Payout Ratio11.93%27.55%43.16%58.77%74.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.1342.1270.29101.94137.41177.06187.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.15%9.15%9.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)38.2338.5938.95
Year 2 PV (M)57.9059.0060.11
Year 3 PV (M)76.2078.3980.62
Year 4 PV (M)93.2296.80100.49
Year 5 PV (M)109.01114.28119.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,875.951,966.562,060.64
Equity Value (M)2,250.512,353.622,460.56
Shares Outstanding (M)16.7216.7216.72
Fair Value$134.58$140.74$147.14
Upside / Downside-55.58%-53.55%-51.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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