Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Corby Spirit and Wine Limited (CSW-A.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.00 - $195.12$77.59
Multi-Stage$30.46 - $33.32$31.86
Blended Fair Value$54.72
Current Price$14.05
Upside289.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.91%-4.11%0.900.840.880.930.840.861.320.870.821.38
YoY Growth--7.14%-4.55%-5.37%10.71%-2.32%-34.85%51.72%6.10%-40.58%0.73%
Dividend Yield--6.41%6.58%6.09%5.28%4.65%5.48%7.67%4.29%3.80%6.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.663.542.12
Cash Retained (M)2.402.402.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.66-3.54-2.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.26-1.140.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.4728.4728.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.040.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.040.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.800.870.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Fair Value$38.00$77.59$195.12
Upside / Downside170.50%452.21%1,288.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28.3129.7431.2532.8434.5136.2637.35
Payout Ratio91.53%91.22%90.92%90.61%90.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.9127.1328.4129.7631.1632.6434.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate4.08%5.08%6.08%
Year 1 PV (M)25.2925.5325.78
Year 2 PV (M)24.6925.1725.65
Year 3 PV (M)24.1024.8025.52
Year 4 PV (M)23.5324.4525.39
Year 5 PV (M)22.9724.0925.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)746.47783.03821.00
Equity Value (M)867.05907.07948.60
Shares Outstanding (M)28.4728.4728.47
Fair Value$30.46$31.86$33.32
Upside / Downside116.77%126.77%137.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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