Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$424.10 - $1,185.44$658.82
Multi-Stage$285.75 - $312.26$298.76
Blended Fair Value$478.79
Current Price$328.96
Upside45.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.87%10.91%3.863.593.012.522.522.302.092.061.891.62
YoY Growth--7.55%19.27%19.47%0.09%9.23%10.05%1.52%8.99%16.87%18.14%
Dividend Yield--1.13%0.91%1.33%1.02%1.53%1.84%1.67%1.97%1.78%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)776.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)180.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)595.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)155.2297.0158.21
Cash Retained (M)595.80595.80595.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-155.22-97.01-58.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)440.58498.79537.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.6844.6844.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.8611.1612.03
LTM Dividend per Share4.044.044.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.8611.1612.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend13.9015.2016.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$424.10$658.82$1,185.44
Upside / Downside28.92%100.27%260.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)776.10826.55880.27937.49998.431,063.321,095.22
Payout Ratio23.23%36.59%49.94%63.29%76.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)180.30302.39439.60593.36765.26956.991,013.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.96%8.96%8.96%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)274.93277.53280.14
Year 2 PV (M)363.37370.29377.28
Year 3 PV (M)445.92458.72471.77
Year 4 PV (M)522.87542.98563.66
Year 5 PV (M)594.49623.20653.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,564.1811,074.4311,604.21
Equity Value (M)12,765.7613,347.1613,950.08
Shares Outstanding (M)44.6844.6844.68
Fair Value$285.75$298.76$312.26
Upside / Downside-13.14%-9.18%-5.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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