Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.72 - $16.61$14.13
Multi-Stage$18.48 - $20.24$19.34
Blended Fair Value$16.74
Current Price$32.05
Upside-47.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS-19.65%0.00%0.983.101.582.840.852.934.790.000.000.00
YoY Growth---68.41%96.58%-44.45%234.11%-70.94%-38.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.10%10.96%9.85%13.71%4.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)991.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)521.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)470.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)198.20123.8874.33
Cash Retained (M)470.00470.00470.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-198.20-123.88-74.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)271.80346.13395.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)554.98554.98554.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.490.620.71
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.490.620.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.431.561.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.72$14.13$16.61
Upside / Downside-63.43%-55.91%-48.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)991.00981.09971.28961.57951.95942.43970.70
Payout Ratio52.57%60.06%67.54%75.03%82.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)521.00589.23656.04721.46785.50848.19897.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)530.51535.93541.34
Year 2 PV (M)531.81542.72553.74
Year 3 PV (M)526.56542.84559.46
Year 4 PV (M)516.17537.57559.62
Year 5 PV (M)501.83527.96555.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,648.518,046.788,461.48
Equity Value (M)10,255.3910,733.8011,230.80
Shares Outstanding (M)554.98554.98554.98
Fair Value$18.48$19.34$20.24
Upside / Downside-42.34%-39.65%-36.86%

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