Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Com7 Public Company Limited (COM7-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.09 - $327.67$227.97
Multi-Stage$40.63 - $44.42$42.49
Blended Fair Value$135.23
Current Price$25.75
Upside425.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.70%23.63%0.710.760.510.510.410.250.180.130.080.00
YoY Growth---6.69%49.04%0.12%24.86%60.00%42.86%40.00%66.66%37,497,727.92%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.69%3.93%1.67%1.18%1.27%3.27%1.96%1.34%1.43%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,880.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,025.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,855.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)776.04485.02291.01
Cash Retained (M)1,855.031,855.031,855.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-776.04-485.02-291.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,078.991,370.001,564.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,355.002,355.002,355.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.460.580.66
LTM Dividend per Share0.860.860.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.460.580.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.321.441.52
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$83.09$227.97$327.67
Upside / Downside222.70%785.30%1,172.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,880.194,132.414,401.014,687.084,991.745,316.205,475.69
Payout Ratio52.19%59.75%67.32%74.88%82.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,025.172,469.282,962.563,509.544,115.114,784.585,065.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,282.362,304.002,325.63
Year 2 PV (M)2,531.032,579.242,627.91
Year 3 PV (M)2,771.382,850.942,932.00
Year 4 PV (M)3,003.613,119.123,237.93
Year 5 PV (M)3,227.903,383.813,545.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)81,875.6085,830.2289,936.20
Equity Value (M)95,691.90100,067.34104,605.36
Shares Outstanding (M)2,355.002,355.002,355.00
Fair Value$40.63$42.49$44.42
Upside / Downside57.80%65.02%72.50%

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