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CNO Financial Group, Inc. 5.125 (CNO-PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.88 - $54.35$42.40
Multi-Stage$55.52 - $61.03$58.22
Blended Fair Value$50.31
Current Price$39.55
Upside27.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.18%2.87%0.660.660.630.640.650.650.630.580.530.51
YoY Growth---0.59%5.09%-1.37%-1.94%-0.15%3.55%8.72%8.76%5.38%1.96%
Dividend Yield--1.58%2.44%2.84%2.55%2.69%5.27%3.82%2.68%2.60%2.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)294.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)228.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.9436.8422.10
Cash Retained (M)228.30228.30228.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.94-36.84-22.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)169.36191.46206.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)102.72102.72102.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.651.862.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.650.650.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.651.862.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.302.512.65
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate0.05%1.05%2.05%
Fair Value$32.88$42.40$54.35
Upside / Downside-16.85%7.20%37.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)294.70297.81300.95304.12307.33310.57319.88
Payout Ratio22.53%36.03%49.52%63.01%76.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.40107.29149.03191.63235.12279.51295.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate0.05%1.05%2.05%
Year 1 PV (M)99.24100.23101.22
Year 2 PV (M)127.51130.07132.66
Year 3 PV (M)151.67156.27160.95
Year 4 PV (M)172.14179.12186.32
Year 5 PV (M)189.29198.94208.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,962.895,215.915,479.14
Equity Value (M)5,702.745,980.546,269.27
Shares Outstanding (M)102.72102.72102.72
Fair Value$55.52$58.22$61.03
Upside / Downside40.37%47.21%54.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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