Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Banco de Chile (CHILE.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$690.62 - $2,492.16$2,197.34
Multi-Stage$326.81 - $356.95$341.61
Blended Fair Value$1,269.47
Current Price$140.90
Upside800.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.02%8.28%8.088.585.342.183.473.533.703.393.633.64
YoY Growth---5.88%60.59%145.07%-37.16%-1.62%-4.75%9.37%-6.71%-0.22%-0.18%
Dividend Yield--6.44%7.89%6.92%2.59%4.09%5.10%3.72%3.43%4.79%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,265,875.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)995,380.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)270,495.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)253,175.00158,234.3894,940.63
Cash Retained (M)270,495.00270,495.00270,495.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-253,175.00-158,234.38-94,940.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,320.00112,260.63175,554.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)101,017.08101,017.08101,017.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.171.111.74
LTM Dividend per Share9.859.859.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.171.111.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.0310.9611.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$690.62$2,197.34$2,492.16
Upside / Downside390.15%1,459.50%1,668.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,265,875.001,348,156.881,435,787.071,529,113.231,628,505.591,734,358.461,786,389.21
Payout Ratio78.63%80.91%83.18%85.45%87.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)995,380.001,090,732.001,194,274.271,306,668.701,428,628.601,560,922.611,652,410.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,009,507.441,019,076.231,028,645.02
Year 2 PV (M)1,023,026.821,042,512.611,062,182.23
Year 3 PV (M)1,035,952.651,065,691.121,095,993.35
Year 4 PV (M)1,048,299.131,088,613.761,130,080.15
Year 5 PV (M)1,060,080.221,111,282.491,164,444.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,836,502.1829,181,015.6430,576,986.80
Equity Value (M)33,013,368.4434,508,191.8536,058,331.93
Shares Outstanding (M)101,017.08101,017.08101,017.08
Fair Value$326.81$341.61$356.95
Upside / Downside131.94%142.45%153.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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